Friday, August 31, 2012

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Global Central Bank Action/Stimulus Hopes, Short-Covering, Commodity Sector Strength, Euro Bounce


Broad Market Tone:

  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 17.46 -2.08%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 106.0 +1.92%
  • Total Put/Call .90 -15.09%
  • NYSE Arms .56 -67.45%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 101.82 bps -1.08%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 248.28 bps -1.4%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 230.50 -1.33%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 246.65 -2.5%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 17.0 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 33.25 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -31.75 +1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .09% unch.
  • Yield Curve 134.0 -3 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $89.40/Metric Tonne +.79%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -3.4 +.6 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.26 -4 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +45 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -8 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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