Thursday, September 27, 2012

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Less Eurozone Debt Angst, Global Central Bank Stimulus Hopes, Short-Covering, Quarter-End Window Dressing

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 14.88 -11.48%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 141.0 +13.71%
  • Total Put/Call .82 -7.87%
  • NYSE Arms .56 -49.02%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 98.76 bps -3.38%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 201.28 bps -3.82%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 146.92 -1.42%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 224.95 -3.30%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 14.50 -1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 27.50 +1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -26.5 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .09% -1 basis point
  • Yield Curve 138.0 +2 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $104.20/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 8.8 -20.1 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.44 +1 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +33 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +43 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my Tech, Medical and Biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and covered some of my (EEM) short, then added some back
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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