Friday, November 30, 2012

Stocks Falling Slightly into Final Hour on Fiscal Cliff Worries, Rising Global Growth Fears, Eurozone Debt Angst, Cyclical Stock Weakness

Today's Market Take:

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 16.11 +6.97%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 87.0 -27.5%
  • Total Put/Call 1.16 +16.0%
  • NYSE Arms 1.26 +54.97%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 98.57 -.69%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 160.19 +.04%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 105.33 bps -.60%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 237.43 bps +.85%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.75 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 23.50 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -24.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .08% unch.
  • Yield Curve 137.0 +1 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $116.90/Metric Tonne -1.11%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 43.10 -.8 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.42 +2 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +59 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +6 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my Tech sector longs and index hedges
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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