Wednesday, December 19, 2012

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Less Fiscal Cliff Optimism, Profit-Taking, More Shorting, Healthcare/Telecom Sector Weakness

Today's Market Take:

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 17.10 +9.83%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 95.0 -17.4%
  • Total Put/Call .94 +10.59%
  • NYSE Arms 136.0 +182.19%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 89.19 +.14%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 138.37 -.57%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 109.34 -.52%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 208.05 +1.23%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.25 +.75 bp
  • TED Spread 26.5 -.25 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -24.75 -2.0 bps
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .05% +1 bp
  • Yield Curve 153.0 -1 bp
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $135.50/Metric Tonne+2.5%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 46.20 -.8 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.49 -1 bp
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +26 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -5 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech sector longs and index hedges
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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