Thursday, January 03, 2013

Stocks Down Slightly into Final Hour on More Hawkish Fed Commentary, Fiscal Cliff Worries, Profit-Taking, Tech/Heathcare/Mining Sector Weakness

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 14.72 +.27%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 139.0 +7.75%
  • Total Put/Call .78 -18.75%
  • NYSE Arms 1.08 +23.3%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 85.20 +.12%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 123.66 -2.35%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 101.61 -3.23%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 191.92 -1.57%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.75 -.25 bp
  • TED Spread 24.0 -1.0 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.5 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .07% +1 bp
  • Yield Curve 163.0 +5 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $149.80/Metric Tonne +3.38%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 34.70 +1.6 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.47 -1 bp
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +390 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +1 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my retail/medical sector longs and index hedges
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then covered some of them
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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