Monday, February 04, 2013

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Surging Eurozone Debt Angst, Global Growth Fears, Rising Mideast Unrest, Tech/Commodity/Homebuilding Sector Weakness

Today's Market Take:

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 14.37 +11.4%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 125.0 +15.7%
  • Total Put/Call 1.05 +16.7%
  • NYSE Arms 1.36 +60.1%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 89.19 +3.5%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 159.0 +9.4%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 104.9 +2.5%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 231.73 +2.0%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 16.75 +.75 bp
  • TED Spread 24.0 +.5 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -17.25 -3.0 bps
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .06% unch.
  • Yield Curve 171.0 -2 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $154.20/Metric Tonne +.65%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -29.3 -1.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.56 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -104 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +1 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/medical/retail/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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