Monday, March 04, 2013

Stocks Reversing Higher into Final Hour on Dovish Fed Commentary, Short-Covering, Homebuilding/Transport Sector Strength

Today's Market Take:

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 14.24 -7.29%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 102.0 +22.89%
  • Total Put/Call 1.14 -3.39%
  • NYSE Arms .87 -22.31%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 84.74 -1.89%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 159.05 -2.79%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 101.49 -1.30%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 242.12 -.74%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 14.0 +.25 bp
  • TED Spread 19.75 +1.5 bps
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.0 +.25 bp
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .09% -1 bp
  • Yield Curve 164.0 +2 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $148.80/Metric Tonne -1.20%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 5.20 -1.5 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.55 +1 bp
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +103 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +40 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my retail/biotech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then covered some of them
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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